Consumer demand for steam in district heating systems is driven by many of the same variables that drive demand for electric power.  We combine our vast experience forecasting electric power demand with detailed analysis of the idiosyncrasies of each steam demand system to provide accurate, reliable, and comprehensive steam demand forecasting solutions.  We have experience forecasting steam demand on some of the world’s largest district heating systems.

Short Range Demand Forecasting

We harness the power of the TESLA Model in conjunction with weather forecast inputs to generate highly accurate short range demand forecasts.  Our short range demand forecasts are accompanied by a host of tools to help you craft the best possible understanding of the near future of your steam demand. Read more…

Medium & Long Range Demand Forecasting

For longer forecast horizons, traditional weather forecast inputs are not reliable.  Our solutions leverage the history of observed weather for a given demand area to inform a range of possibilities of the future.  That range of possible weather futures corresponds to a range of possible demand futures, from which we can extract and present informative percentile forecasts. Read more…

Probabilistic Demand Forecasting

Forecasting naturally involves a great deal of uncertainty stemming from a variety of sources.  We can help you quantify that uncertainty using weather forecast ensembles and/or probability distributions to construct more meaningful confidence intervals around your short-range demand forecasts. Read more…

Weather Effect Decomposition

Not only can the TESLA Model be used to look forward, but here we use it to look backward and weather-normalize observed demand to smooth out the peaks and troughs associated with deviations from seasonally normal weather.  The resulting weather adjusted demand series gives a more accurate picture of underlying growth trends. Read more…

Delivery Options

We aim to make accessing your forecasting solutions as easy as possible.  We are happy to host the solutions for you, freeing up your hardware and personnel resources, and provide access over the internet.  Our solutions can also be installed and run on your hardware and supervised by your personnel.  Either way, you will always receive the same high level of support from our staff. Read more…

Free Trial

We’re confident in our methods, our applications, and our people.  We invite you trial our services at no cost.  If you’re not convinced that our services are the most accurate, reliable, and comprehensive in the industry, there’s no obligation. Read more…