Accuracy – TESLA load forecasts continue to outperform the System Operator’s throughout the winter

This report compares both the load forecasts provided by TESLA via EMS’ em6 and the System Operator’s load forecast (at 2.5 hours ahead of real-time) against actual load observations. As does the report released by Transpower, this report seeks to separate out the conforming loads for further analysis. EMS provides a detailed load forecasting accuracy analysis to all Load Forecast users on a monthly basis. The charts below compare the accuracy for July 2017.

July 2017 NZ Load Forecasting Accuracy